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WP4: Ecosystem services & valuation

Protecting the Baltic Sea is about more than safeguarding wildlife and habitats—it’s also about understanding the benefits people receive from nature. 


Work Package 4 (WP4) focuses on ecosystem services, the many ways marine ecosystems support human well-being.


This work is led by Lois Watt at the HELCOM Secretariat.


Other partners involved: SYKE, AAU, SwAM, SLU, VSTT, UTARTU, and AKTiiVS.

Lois Watt

WP Lead for WP4

Linking nature and society

For the first time at the regional scale, the project is bringing together ecological, social, and economic perspectives to capture values for the Baltic Sea.


At the heart of this is the ecosystem services cascade model—a way of showing how ecological structures and processes lead to the functions, services, and benefits people rely on. The project has adapted this approach to the Baltic Sea context, building on an earlier model by Potschin and Haines-Young's (2010) but adding one crucial missing piece: species traits. 


By starting from species, rather than abstract habitat types, the model has a stronger foundation. Traits—like feeding behaviour, body size, or burrowing depth—explain what species actually do in their environments and how they contribute to ecosystem functions such as nutrient cycling or sediment mixing. These functions, in turn, underpin the services that support society, from clean water to coastal protection. 

From mapping to valuation

The work unfolds step by step:


  • Identification and mapping
    A matrix is being developed to link species → traits → functions → ecosystem services. Expert workshops on fish, benthic organisms, birds, and marine mammals provide data to strengthen these links.
     
  • Quantification
    Regional maps reveal where services are produced, how strongly they flow, and how resilient they are to the loss of key species.
     
  • Valuation
    Social and economic methods show the importance of these services, while avoiding double counting and making trade-offs transparent.
     

Together, these steps highlight priority areas for ecosystem service production and make the socio-economic case for strengthening the MPA network.

Pressures & protection

Ecosystem services don’t exist in a vacuum—they are shaped by the pressures we place on the sea. 


The project examines how human activities such as shipping, fishing, coastal development, and pollution influence the capacity of ecosystems to provide benefits.


By combining ecosystem service maps with knowledge about pressures, the project can identify:

  • Which services are most affected by specific pressures (for example, how bottom trawling impacts nutrient cycling or carbon storage).
  • How cumulative pressures interact and compound each other across regions.
  • Where ecosystems remain resilient, and where they are close to losing critical functions.
     

This helps managers and policymakers move beyond abstract indicators, towards understanding the real-world consequences of human activities. 


The results can guide restoration priorities, strengthen MPAs, and inform future planning across the Baltic Sea.

Building for the future

The work doesn’t stop at today’s knowledge—the final phase is a gap analysis that will highlight:

  • Where scientific evidence is strong, and where uncertainties remain. 
  • Which data are still missing—such as under-studied species, overlooked traits, or underreported pressures.
  • Methodological areas that could be refined to better connect ecological, social, and economic perspectives.
     

The outcome will be a clear overview of needs and priorities for future ecosystem service assessments in the Baltic Sea. 


This will guide where additional data collection, research, or methodological work could make the biggest difference.


By identifying what we know—and just as importantly, what we don’t—the work being done in the project will help to lay the groundwork for more robust assessments in the years ahead, including the potential identification and use of trait information in HELCOM's holistic assessment work (HOLAS 4) for all ecosystem components in the Baltic Sea.

Deliverables

Conceptual causal framework for ecosystem components, ecosystem services & pressures

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Conceptual causal framework for ecosystem components, ecosystem services & pressures

Coming in August 2026

Decision support tool for spatial assessment of ecosystem services

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Conceptual causal framework for ecosystem components, ecosystem services & pressures

Coming in August 2026

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Coming in August 2026

Updated ecosystem service assessment methodology

Updated ecosystem service assessment methodology

Report on the multi-use methodology for identification, mapping & quantification of ecosystem services

Coming in February 2027


Gap analysis of ecosystem service methodology

Updated ecosystem service assessment methodology

Gap analysis of ecosystem service methodology

Coming in August 2027



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